Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.169703 0.182165 0.195147 0.209693 0.225555 0.242350 0.261502
2025-04-27 0.151386 0.170093 0.190668 0.215056 0.243274 0.275013 0.313583
2025-05-04 0.137423 0.159071 0.183749 0.214118 0.250695 0.293592 0.348096
2025-05-11 0.126522 0.149944 0.177416 0.212259 0.255618 0.308248 0.377655
2025-05-18 0.117476 0.142006 0.171477 0.209829 0.258915 0.320303 0.403951
2025-05-25 0.113868 0.140249 0.172675 0.215928 0.272810 0.346055 0.449132
2025-06-01 0.106927 0.133746 0.167341 0.213080 0.274620 0.355840 0.473339
2025-06-08 0.101157 0.128326 0.162953 0.210999 0.277026 0.366205 0.498621
2025-06-15 0.094619 0.121502 0.156281 0.205341 0.274025 0.368701 0.512574
2025-06-22 0.090041 0.117005 0.152406 0.203161 0.275534 0.377343 0.535694
2025-06-29 0.087604 0.115232 0.152052 0.205735 0.283755 0.395859 0.574542
2025-07-06 0.083538 0.111017 0.148107 0.202960 0.283991 0.402563 0.595605
2025-07-13 0.080229 0.107792 0.145507 0.202144 0.287294 0.414388 0.626159
2025-07-20 0.079069 0.107534 0.147079 0.207490 0.300135 0.441556 0.683537
2025-07-27 0.076106 0.104551 0.144569 0.206582 0.303277 0.453707 0.716974
2025-08-03 0.073111 0.101379 0.141613 0.204801 0.304876 0.463373 0.746769
2025-08-10 0.070176 0.098160 0.138431 0.202473 0.305407 0.471225 0.773850
2025-08-17 0.069651 0.098460 0.140473 0.208316 0.319347 0.501992 0.843925
2025-08-24 0.066916 0.095341 0.137205 0.205588 0.319034 0.508635 0.870547
2025-08-31 0.064537 0.092663 0.134492 0.203593 0.319787 0.517066 0.901024
2025-09-07 0.061459 0.088805 0.129804 0.198172 0.314425 0.514423 0.910082
2025-09-14 0.059353 0.086366 0.127229 0.196082 0.314631 0.521612 0.938683
2025-09-21 0.058419 0.085706 0.127412 0.198549 0.322840 0.543661 0.998454